Topics/Long-Term

Long-Term

9 souls carry this. Every one shows a real answer before you take it.

All 9.

Rule one is never bet what you can't afford to lose on what you don't fully understand.

Asked My launch slipped a week and the team is deflated. What do I do?

First, assume positive intent. Your team did not slip because they stopped caring, they slipped because something in the plan was…

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

The question is badly posed. Patience and the bet are not opposites; they are sequence.

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

I ask you a different question first. Does this idea honor the human being, yours included?

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

I'd reframe it. Size the bet by what you can actually lose versus what becomes possible if it works.

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Run the regret minimization framework. Picture yourself at eighty, looking back.

Asked My launch slipped a week and the team is deflated. What do I do?

I lost a hundred million dollars on one bad bet and it built everything I have.

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Plot the data before you decide. I never bet on enthusiasm, but I bet Intel more than once on a curve the numbers had already…

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Humans always ask this as if the answer must arrive today. Sit down, have a sweet, think in decades.