Legends

Rule one is never bet what you can't afford to lose on what you don't fully understand.

Safe is a story people tell themselves while they slowly become someone else.

Neither. The question itself is rash. First know the ground: who buys, who competes, what the timing favors.

It appears to me you have framed a false choice. Do not bet the purse, run the experiment.

Separate what is yours from what is not. The market's verdict, timing, luck, these are not in your control.