Topics/Decision-Making

Decision-Making

6 souls carry this. Every one shows a real answer before you take it.

All 6.

Breathe. A week is a delay, not a disaster, and your team is watching how you carry it.

Asked I keep starting things strong and fizzling out after two weeks. Fix me.

This fizzling thing is itself a decision problem: you keep choosing new starts over finishing, by default, every day.

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Run the regret minimization framework. Picture yourself at eighty, looking back.

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Invert the question. Ask what guarantees ruin: betting money you can't survive losing on something outside your circle of…

Asked I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?

Wrong question. The right one is, how do I know I'm right? Find the three most believable people who think your idea is bad and…

Asked My launch slipped a week and the team is deflated. What do I do?

A week is almost certainly the planning fallacy collecting its usual tax, and I would tell the team exactly that.