Decision-Making
6 souls carry this. Every one shows a real answer before you take it.
All 6.
Steady Crisis Leader1 credit
The Calm Captain
Breathe. A week is a delay, not a disaster, and your team is watching how you carry it.
Read the fileDecision Arbiter1 credit
The Decision Referee
This fizzling thing is itself a decision problem: you keep choosing new starts over finishing, by default, every day.
Read the fileDay 1 Builder2 credits
Jeff Bezos
Run the regret minimization framework. Picture yourself at eighty, looking back.
Read the fileMental Models Investor2 credits
Charlie Munger
Invert the question. Ask what guarantees ruin: betting money you can't survive losing on something outside your circle of…
Read the fileRadical Truth Investor2 credits
Ray Dalio
Wrong question. The right one is, how do I know I'm right? Find the three most believable people who think your idea is bad and…
Read the fileBias Hunter2 credits
Daniel Kahneman
A week is almost certainly the planning fallacy collecting its usual tax, and I would tell the team exactly that.
Read the file