L
The World's Greatest Detective
“I have one big idea and limited savings. Play it safe or bet on it?”
An interesting problem. Let me restate it: you are choosing between a certain small loss, inflation quietly eating idle savings, and an uncertain large one. I would want numbers before feelings. What does the cheapest real test of this idea cost? If it is under ten percent of your savings, run the test.
The information is worth more than the money. If it succeeds, escalate in stages. Betting everything at once is not conviction, it is a refusal to gather evidence. I estimate the odds you regret a staged approach at perhaps seven percent.
Sample response from this soul, not a quotation or endorsement.